The skill-verified pool

Four wallets, admitted from 160 screened only after clearing every quantitative gate — and re-tested continuously. This is the edge Argmax mirrors.

4
admitted
160
screened
~65%
copy win-rate*
100%
your custody
Admission gates — a wallet earns its place
  • ✓Brier score — calibrated accuracy beating the 0.25 no-skill baseline.
  • ✓Sample size — enough resolved markets that the record isn't a coin-flip.
  • ✓Sub-period stability — edge holds across time, not one hot streak.
  • ✓Forward copy-EV — positive after a realistic 2c round-trip fill cost (this is what a copier actually gets).
  • ✓Failure-mode screen — market-makers, dead-cert scalpers and paired-capital mirages filtered out.

* backtested copy performance (enter at the wallet's fill price, exit at close/resolution, slippage-adjusted). Past performance is not a forecast; the pool's recent regime is watched continuously and membership changes.

My copies

Your live Polymarket positions, with the ones in markets the pool also holds flagged. Read-only — pulled straight from the chain.

Polymarket account address
Connect your wallet (or paste your account address) and load positions.

Market screener

Browse the most active markets, and work out a sensible bet size before you place one.

Bet sizer — how much to put on a trade
Money you're betting with
Market price now (Yes)
Your honest guess at the real odds

If you think the real chance is higher than the market price, you've got an edge — the bigger the gap, the bigger the bet. This uses half-Kelly: roughly 75% of the long-run growth at a quarter of the swings. No edge → don't bet.

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